Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.206874 0.240180 0.277168 0.321303 0.372550 0.430208 0.500045
2025-05-11 0.153633 0.197718 0.251934 0.323565 0.415837 0.530869 0.685465
2025-05-18 0.123365 0.170396 0.232430 0.320353 0.442013 0.604816 0.839951
2025-05-25 0.100803 0.147464 0.212612 0.310382 0.453794 0.657126 0.968604
2025-06-01 0.089098 0.136999 0.207266 0.318089 0.489113 0.744113 1.155327
2025-06-08 0.078317 0.125891 0.198818 0.319055 0.513215 0.816040 1.327367
2025-06-15 0.070641 0.118248 0.194216 0.324651 0.544198 0.901019 1.529461
2025-06-22 0.061863 0.107485 0.183024 0.317656 0.553094 0.950553 1.678344
2025-06-29 0.055250 0.099398 0.175067 0.314732 0.567874 1.010714 1.851779
2025-07-06 0.050366 0.093641 0.170274 0.316470 0.590577 1.086522 2.061617
2025-07-13 0.048060 0.092206 0.172861 0.331672 0.639247 1.214005 2.382199
2025-07-20 0.045441 0.089827 0.173358 0.342861 0.681435 1.333878 2.702614
2025-07-27 0.042701 0.086976 0.172812 0.352332 0.722199 1.457297 3.049284
2025-08-03 0.039415 0.082647 0.168915 0.354703 0.749184 1.557084 3.361745
2025-08-10 0.035916 0.077429 0.162580 0.351180 0.763335 1.632040 3.630960
2025-08-17 0.032141 0.071153 0.153312 0.340239 0.760165 1.669962 3.823858
2025-08-24 0.030467 0.069228 0.153000 0.348696 0.800420 1.805994 4.254315
2025-08-31 0.028351 0.066054 0.149591 0.349756 0.824022 1.907676 4.618317
2025-09-07 0.026817 0.064022 0.148473 0.355896 0.860024 2.041569 5.075952
2025-09-14 0.024467 0.059789 0.141847 0.348221 0.862178 2.096476 5.347460
2025-09-21 0.022641 0.056600 0.137299 0.345012 0.874789 2.177788 5.695721
2025-09-28 0.021291 0.054426 0.134935 0.346919 0.900391 2.293911 6.148830
2025-10-05 0.020877 0.054565 0.138242 0.363601 0.965852 2.517928 6.916694